Guardians
Guardians look like more of the same, without the storybook finish in 2026: Joe Noga
Updated: Mar. 24, 2026, 5:29 p.m.|Published: Mar. 24, 2026, 4:07 p.m.
By Joe Noga, cleveland.com
CLEVELAND, Ohio — A year ago, the warning signs were easy to spot. The American League Central Division was getting better, the Guardians didn’t do much to keep pace, and the margin for error around a young, contact-heavy lineup felt pretty thin.
The result was a season that reinforced the Guardians’ strengths and exposed their limitations. They are a club that can pitch and develop, but still struggles to separate from the competition when the stakes rise in the postseason.
So, here we are again.
Cleveland enters 2026 coming off a 2025 campaign that showed flashes of staying power but ultimately revealed how difficult it is to sustain success against an improving division.
Detroit and Kansas City didn’t sit still this winter. The Tigers continued to add impact talent to a roster that already looks postseason-ready. They signed Framber Valdez to boost an already potent rotation that features the best pitcher on the planet in Tarik Skubal. Both lefties have built their careers in recent years with huge success against Cleveland.
The Royals doubled down on their aggressive timeline, adding three impact arms in their bullpen as well as Starling Marte and former Guardians outfielder Lane Thomas for more punch in their outfield. They also secured Maikel Garcia on a $57.5 million extension and retained veteran catcher Sal Perez to guide a rising core that features the best all-around player in the division in Bobby Witt Jr. and is designed to win now.
Cleveland followed its familiar offseason script, remaining measured, deliberate and mostly quiet while president of baseball operations Chris Antonetti espoused the organization’s belief that providing a runway for the young talent on the roster was more important than adding a transitional veteran bat.
The Guards’ headline move was Rhys Hoskins, who signed a minor-league deal but showed just enough punch in spring training to give some hope that the offense will surge. Hoskins finding his way onto the opening-day roster gives Cleveland something it lacked for long stretches last season. He’s a proven, right-handed power presence who can lengthen manager Stephen Vogt’s young lineup. If he hits anything close to his career averages and remains healthy, the ripple effect could be significant, especially for a young group that has some real playoff experience, but is still learning how to produce consistently at the big-league level.
Because make no mistake, the 2026 season hinges on that group. The Guardians are expecting Bo Naylor, Brayan Rocchio, Kyle Manzardo, Gabriel Arias and Daniel Schneemann to be difference-makers, not just developmental pieces.
Rookie outfielder Chase DeLauter, meanwhile, looked every bit like an impact bat this spring, showing the combination of contact and thump that the organization has been trying to develop for years in its young hitters. If he stays healthy, DeLauter changes the ceiling of Vogt’s lineup.
Angel Martínez also turned heads in camp, continuing his steady progression into a versatile, everyday contributor. And at some point, Travis Bazzana looms as the kind of in-season jolt that could reshape the offense if the timing is right.
That’s the optimistic path. The more realistic approach acknowledges how difficult that transition can be. It’s one thing to make a splash in March. It’s another to grind through six months of big-league adjustments, scouting reports and pressure. Cleveland didn’t add much external help, so the internal growth can’t just be measured in baby steps. It has to be significant.
There is, however, one area where the Guardians don’t have to squint to see strength. Their rotation appears to be legit. This is still an organization built on pitching, and the starters they will roll out to begin the year have plenty of depth and upside to keep them in almost any series.
That matters even more considering the gauntlet that awaits in the early part of the season. Cleveland opens against legitimate contenders like the Mariners and Dodgers, part of a daunting schedule that includes the Cubs, Braves, Orioles and Blue Jays in the first month, and could easily bury a team still trying to find its offensive identity.
If Tanner Bibee, Gavin Williams, Slade Cecconi, Joey Cantillo and rookie Parker Messick survive that stretch, and maybe stack up some wins, the season’s entire outlook shifts. But fall behind early, and the climb gets steep. Even for a team that produced a historic 15 1/2-game rally to win the division last September.
But there is a bigger picture to address. One that includes the face of Cleveland baseball for the better part of a decade now. For all the talk about development timelines and sustained success, there is a clock ticking in the Progressive Field clubhouse. One that is tied to José Ramírez and the prime of his career.
Ramírez committed to the organization with a long-term extension in January because he believed in what is being built. If building does not eventually turn into winning, however, the team can’t keep asking one of the game’s most complete players to carry the burden on his own.
Ramírez is running out of his best seasons while waiting for the next wave to arrive, and at some point, the Guardians have to meet him halfway.
That’s why 2026 feels like a pivot point. Not quite a make-or-break year, but close enough to matter. The pitching should keep them competitive. The young bats should be better. Hoskins might give them a needed jolt. But in a division where Detroit and Kansas City pushed their chips forward, Cleveland is still asking its system to deliver the difference.
Maybe that will happen. But until it does over a full season, it’s hard to project a leap past the teams that were more aggressive in trying to separate themselves.
Prediction: 79–83, third place in the AL Central.
[ About right. The only difference, I believe the Tigers, Royal, and Guardians all finish about .500]
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